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#1017041 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:39 AM 16.Sep.2020)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE SALLY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020
0630 UTC WED SEP 16 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* MOBILE BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF BAY ST. LOUIS MISSISSIPPI TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA
* BAY ST. LOUIS MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION
OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS
A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 87.8W AT 16/0630Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 20SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 87.8W AT 16/0630Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 88.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N 87.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.2N 86.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N 85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.9N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.6N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N 79.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 87.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 16/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART