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| #1017049 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:00 AM 16.Sep.2020) TCDAT5 Hurricane Teddy Special Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 300 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020 Teddy has rapidly intensified overnight. Satellite images show an eye has formed, and satellite intensity estimates are between 77- 90 kt. The initial wind speed is set to 80 kt as a blend of these data. Further strengthening is expected and Teddy could become a major hurricane later today or Thursday. The intensity forecast has been raised considerably in the short-term based on current trends, and could have to revised upward on the regular 5 am advisory. No changes to the track forecast are needed. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0700Z 15.5N 48.7W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 16/1200Z 16.0N 49.2W 90 KT 105 MPH 24H 17/0000Z 17.3N 50.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 36H 17/1200Z 18.8N 52.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 18/0000Z 20.2N 53.4W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 18/1200Z 21.6N 54.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 19/0000Z 23.0N 56.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 20/0000Z 26.5N 60.0W 100 KT 115 MPH 120H 21/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W 95 KT 110 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake |
