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| #1017253 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 16.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 2100 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 50.8W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT.......190NE 100SE 70SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 50.8W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 50.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.6N 52.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 110SE 70SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 53.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 80SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 54.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N 56.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.8N 58.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N 60.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 29.5N 63.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.3N 64.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 50.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO |
