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#1017474 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 PM 17.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 2100 UTC THU SEP 17 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 54.1W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 300SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 54.1W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 53.7W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.2N 55.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 90SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.8N 56.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 170SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 58.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.3N 59.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.0N 62.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.5N 63.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 180SE 130SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.9N 63.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 41.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 54.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO |