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#1017914 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:54 AM 20.Sep.2020) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 31A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 200 AM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 ...SWELLS FROM TEDDY AFFECTING MOST WESTERN ATLANTIC COASTS... ...RIP CURRENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 61.6W ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area, generally within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 61.6 West. Teddy is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue this morning. A turn toward the north is expected by tonight followed by a faster northward motion on Monday. On the forecast track, Teddy will approach Bermuda on Sunday night, and the center will pass just east of the island Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is expected beginning later today. Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km). Teddy`s wind field is likely to become even larger over the next few days. NOAA buoy 41049 recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a gust to 63 mph (101 km/h) about 85 miles (137 km) west of the center of Teddy. The estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda as early as tonight and could linger into Monday night. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |