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#1018162 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 21.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO MAIN-A-DIEU NOVA SCOTIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TEDDY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 62.7W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 330SE 390SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 62.7W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 63.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 34.4N 62.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 70NW. 50 KT...180NE 140SE 90SW 160NW. 34 KT...330NE 280SE 300SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.2N 63.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 50 KT...190NE 120SE 120SW 160NW. 34 KT...390NE 330SE 310SW 310NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.7N 64.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...320NE 280SE 270SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.7N 63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 270SE 210SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 47.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 250SE 180SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 51.5N 55.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 300SE 180SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 62.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |