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#1018196 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:12 PM 21.Sep.2020) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 37A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 200 PM AST Mon Sep 21 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR NOVA SCOTIA WHILE TEDDY ACCELERATES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... ...LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES FOR A FEW MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 62.0W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Canadian Hurricane Centre has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the south coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove. The Canadian Hurricane Centre has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the northern coast of Nova Scotia from Meat Cove westward to Digby, Prince Edward Island, the Magdalen Islands, and the southwest coast of Newfoundland from Port aux Basques to Francois. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda * South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North coast of Nova Scotia from Meat Cove to Digby * Magdalen Islands * Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. Additional watches and/or warnings could be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located from satellite imagery and Bermuda radar near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 62.0 West. Teddy is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this motion with some increase in forward speed is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the north tonight and north-northwest on Tuesday. Teddy should turn to the north-northeast and decelerate as it approaches Nova Scotia on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Teddy is expected to gain strength overnight, but weaken steadily by Wednesday and become a strong post-tropical cyclone. Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda today. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area by Tuesday afternoon. Tropical-storm-conditions could begin in the watch areas late Tuesday or early Wednesday. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake |