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#1018270 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 21.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0300 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM DIGBY TO MEAT COVE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEAT COVE TO TIDNISH
* NORTH OF DIGBY TO FORT LAWRENCE
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS
* PORT AUX BASQUES TO FRANCOIS NEWFOUNDLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TEDDY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 61.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 80SE 20SW 50NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......240NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 330SE 420SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 61.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 61.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.4N 62.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
50 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.
34 KT...410NE 320SE 280SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 41.1N 63.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...320NE 290SE 270SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.6N 61.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...190NE 260SE 210SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 49.0N 58.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 170SE 190SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 52.8N 54.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 190SE 120SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 58.1N 51.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 250SE 150SW 250NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 61.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS