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#101842 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 AM 03.Aug.2006) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 200 AM AST THU AUG 03 2006 ...CHRIS BECOMING DISORGANIZED... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO ENGANO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING CHRIS. CHRIS APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHRIS WOULD STAY NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO BRING OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PUERTO RICO AND U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH...90 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IF THE CENTER OF CHRIS CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...20.0 N...65.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. |