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| #1018511 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:56 AM 23.Sep.2020) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 43A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 200 AM AST Wed Sep 23 2020 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TEDDY FORECAST TO PRODUCE DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.4N 63.5W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SW OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * South coast of Nova Scotia from Digby to Meat Cove * Port aux Basques to Francois Newfoundland A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Meat Cove to Tidnish Nova Scotia * North of Digby to Fort Lawrence Nova Scotia * Magdalen Islands Quebec * Prince Edward Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the progress of Teddy. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy was located near latitude 43.4 North, longitude 63.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center will move over eastern Nova Scotia later today, and then near or over Newfoundland by tonight, and be east of Labrador on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Although additional weakening is likely today, Teddy should be a strong post-tropical cyclone when it moves near and over Nova Scotia. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 540 miles (870 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall in Nova Scotia. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by very large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Nova Scotia warning area. Tropical storm conditions could begin in the watch areas this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the Newfoundland warning area this afternoon. RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Teddy is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic Canada. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
