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#1020038 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 05.Oct.2020)
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Gamma Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020

...GAMMA BECOMES A DEPRESSION...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 88.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM NW OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Warning and
the Tropical Storm Watch along the northern coast of the Yucatan
peninsula.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gamma
was located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 88.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and
a southwest, or west-southwest motion is expected to continue
through Wednesday morning. On the forecast track, the center of
the depression should move inland over the northwest coast of the
Yucatan peninsula Tuesday and remain over the northern portion of
the peninsula and dissipate Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and Gamma is
expected degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low tonight and
dissipate over the northern portion of the Yucatan peninsula
Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Gamma can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

RAINFALL: Through midweek, Gamma is expected to produce an
additional 2 to 4 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts
of 8 inches across portions of the Mexican states of Yucatan,
Campeche, and Tabasco. This rainfall may produce areas of flash
flooding.

WIND: Gusty winds are likely along portions of the northern coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula later today through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts