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| #1022116 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 21.Oct.2020) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT BERMUDA THROUGH LATE THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.6N 60.6W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 60.6 West. Epsilon is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a northwestward motion is expected later tonight and Thursday. The hurricane is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest by late Thursday, and toward the north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Epsilon is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Small fluctuations in intensity are possible overnight, but a weakening trend is expected to begin later on Thursday and continue into the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km) mainly to the north of the center. The latest minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 953 mb (28.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda tonight and continuing intermittently through late Thursday. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
