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#102432 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:00 PM 04.Aug.2006) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 800 PM AST FRI AUG 04 2006 ...CHRIS PASSING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE EXUMAS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS IN CUBA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... 30 KM...NORTH OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...EAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL TAKE THE CENTER OF CHRIS WEST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...ANY INCREASE IN STRENGTH WOULD BRING CHRIS BACK TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS...THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 4 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...21.5 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. |