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| #1024706 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:53 PM 10.Nov.2020) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 42A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 600 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2020 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING ETA... ...RISK OF FLOODING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND WESTERN CUBA CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 84.7W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dry Tortugas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Englewood to Suwannee River Florida * The Cuban provinces of La Habana, Artemisa, Mayabeque, Pinar del Rio, and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the Gulf Coast of Florida should monitor the progress of Eta. Additional watches or warnings may be required along portions of the Florida Gulf coast later tonight or Wednesday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 84.7 West. Eta is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A motion toward the north or north-northeast is forecast through Wednesday night, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Thursday. On the forecast track the center of Eta will move parallel to but offshore of the Florida west coast on Wednesday night and Thursday and move near or over Apalachee Bay Thursday night and Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast through Thursday morning, and Eta could be near hurricane strength by Wednesday night or Thursday morning. Gradual weakening is expected to begin Thursday afternoon or evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is 989 mb (29.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. RAINFALL: Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts today and tonight: Western Cuba: an additional 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm), with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 25 inches (765 mm). South Florida: Isolated additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 15 to 20 inches. Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts through Thursday: Portions of West Florida and the Sun Coast, including the Tampa Bay area: 1 to 2 inches, with isolated totals of 4 inches. Flash and river flooding will be possible in western Cuba, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain. Additional flash and urban flooding will be possible in South Florida, especially across previously inundated areas, and eventually along portions of West Florida and the Sun Coast. Flash and urban flooding will also be possible for western Cuba. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Dry Tortugas overnight and early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area along the Florida west coast by Thursday. SURF: Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect the north coast of Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, southern and western Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Brown/Papin |
