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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 191 (Milton) , Major: 191 (Milton) Florida - Any: 191 (Milton) Major: 191 (Milton)
 
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#1025211 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:36 PM 13.Nov.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM THETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302020
0300 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 420SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 21.6W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 22.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.8N 20.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N 18.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N 17.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.3N 17.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.9N 16.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 21.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/CANGIALOSI