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| #10285 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:01 AM 26.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 51A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004 ...JEANNE WEAKENS FURTHER OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IN THE ORLANDO AREA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM HALLANDALE NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO CHOKOLOSKEE...AND NORTH AND WEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. AT 7 AM EDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF SEBRING FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF ORLANDO FLORIDA. JEANNE IS NOW MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO NEAR THE TAMPA BAY AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES JEANNE A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. JEANNE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY AS THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AS FAR AS 100 MILES INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF JEANNE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST TO 78 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....AND HIGHER AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. TIDE COULD POSSIBLY REACH 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF JEANNE OVER FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM EDT POSITION...27.7 N... 81.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN |
