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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
 
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#1049194 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:56 AM 18.Jun.2021)
TCMAT3

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021
0900 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD FOR THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE
OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 91.5W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 91.5W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 27.0N 91.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.2N 91.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.0N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.6N 87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.5N 85.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 91.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 18/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE