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#1052369 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 08.Jul.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021
0300 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SURF
CITY...NORTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET...NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET...NORTH CAROLINA TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH
OF COBB ISLAND
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH
* LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN...CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS
INCLUDING CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND
NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR INFORMATION ON WIND HAZARDS NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 76.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 76.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 77.3W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.5N 72.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 44.6N 66.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 49.4N 59.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 90SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 54.5N 48.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 58.5N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 76.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE