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#105407 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:23 PM 21.Aug.2006) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 1100 PM AST MON AUG 21 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PASSING JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.2 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO ...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED AFTER THAT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE PASSING JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. HOWEVER...OUTER RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...12.2 N...23.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. |