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| #105447 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 22.Aug.2006) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 0900 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 24.6W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 24.6W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 24.0W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.7N 26.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.1N 29.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.7N 32.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.3N 34.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 40.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 27.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 24.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z |
