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| #1057428 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:05 PM 17.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 33 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 17 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND A FEW TORNADOES... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.7N 83.9W ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WSW OF ASHEVILLE NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood Watches are in effect for portions of north Georgia, the western Carolinas, eastern Tennessee and Kentucky, southeast Ohio, West Virginia, extreme southwest and northern Virginia, Washington D.C., parts of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New York. Tornado Watches are posted over much of South Carolina, western North Carolina, and southwest Virginia. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fred were located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 83.9 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Tonight... Southern Appalachians...additional 1 to 3 inches of rain, with isolated maximum storm totals of 10 inches. Thursday through Thursday night... Central Appalachians and interior portions of the Mid-Atlantic States into the Northeast...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Southern and Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic States, and Northeast could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. An increased risk of landslides exists across the mountains of North Carolina as well as portions of the Blue Ridge Escarpment through tonight. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through this evening across parts of Georgia, the western Carolinas, and southwestern Virginia. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Carbin |
