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| #1057570 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:08 PM 18.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Advisory Number 37 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 500 PM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED MOVING NORTHEAST FROM WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK WITH HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.8N 79.0W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF BINGHAMTON NEW YORK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flood and Flash Flood Watches are in effect from parts of Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, New York, and across interior New England. A Tornado Watch is in effect from northern Virginia and parts of Maryland across much of central and eastern Pennsylvania. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred was located near latitude 40.8 North, longitude 79.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Thursday night... Across the Northeast from much of Pennsylvania and New York into New England...2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 6 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the northern Mid-Atlantic States and Northeast could lead to considerable flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Depression Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible across parts of the inland Mid-Atlantic region this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Carbin |
