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| #1057599 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 18.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Advisory Number 38 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 1100 PM EDT Wed Aug 18 2021 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED MOVING NORTHEAST FROM CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK WITH HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 76.9W ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM SW OF BINGHAMTON NEW YORK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches are in effect for parts of Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and portions of southern Maine. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred was located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 76.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Through Thursday night... Across the Northeast from eastern Pennsylvania and central-eastern New York into New England...1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 5 inches expected. Heavy rainfall across portions of the Northeast could lead to considerable flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible from eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and southern New York into southern New England. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Hurley |
