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| #1057667 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 19.Aug.2021) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred Advisory Number 40 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062021 1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 19 2021 ...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRED MOVING INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...43.0N 74.7W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM WNW OF ALBANY NEW YORK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches are in effect for parts of New York and central New England. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred was located near latitude 43.0 North, longitude 74.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum storm totals of 5 inches across eastern New York and New England through tonight. This rainfall could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts. The flood risk associated with Fred is expected to diminish by early Friday. For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone Fred, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html TORNADOES: A brief tornado is possible over southeastern New England. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Churchill/Carbin |
