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#1059179 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 29.Aug.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 49.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 49.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 49.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.4N 49.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.9N 49.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.4N 49.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.7N 48.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.0N 48.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.6N 49.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 32.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN