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#1059314 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 29.Aug.2021) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.4W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.4W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 50.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 50.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.1N 49.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.3N 49.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.5N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.8N 49.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.4N 50.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.4N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 33.7N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |