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| #1060826 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:06 AM 09.Sep.2021) TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Mindy Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132021 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 09 2021 ...CENTER OF MINDY MOVING OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 84.0W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued for the Florida Gulf coast west of the Ochlockonee River. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ochlockonee River to Steinhatchee River Florida A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests along the Atlantic coast of northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia should monitor the progress of Mindy. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Mindy was located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 84.0 West. Mindy is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h), and an east-northeastward to eastward motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Mindy is expected to move across the northern Florida Peninsula and southeastern Georgia overnight and into the Atlantic this morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected as Mindy moves over land and into an area of unfavorable upper-level winds. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. Sustained winds of 43 mph (68 km/h) and a gust to 55 mph (89 km/h) were measured at an observing site near Shell Point, Florida, a couple of hours ago. A wind gust to 38 mph (61 km/h) was recently reported at Tallahassee, Florida. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Mindy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Mindy is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches across the Florida Panhandle into southern portions of Georgia and South Carolina through this morning. This rainfall may produce isolated to scattered flash, urban, and small stream flooding. WIND: Tropical-storm force winds are expected within the warning area for the next few hours. Tropical-storm-force winds especially in gusts may occur near the center of Mindy over portions of the northern Florida Peninsula and southeastern Georgia through this morning. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible over portions of north Florida and far south Georgia through this morning. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
