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| #10614 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 27.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 1500Z MON SEP 27 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 46.5W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 46.5W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.8N 47.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.2N 47.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.6N 48.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 26.0N 48.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 49.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 31.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 33.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 46.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z FORECASTER SISKO/PASCH |
