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| #1062206 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 18.Sep.2021) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ODETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152021 1500 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE FOR ODETTE'S POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO NEWFOUNDLAND AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.3W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......170NE 150SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 67.3W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 67.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.0N 64.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.8N 59.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.7N 56.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 42.8N 53.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 42.2N 50.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...270NE 150SE 180SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.5N 49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...270NE 0SE 180SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 41.3N 48.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.7N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 67.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
