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#1062890 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 22.Sep.2021) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rose Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 PM AST Wed Sep 22 2021 ...ROSE EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 40.9W ABOUT 1245 MI...2000 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rose was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 40.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected tonight, with a turn toward the north forecast by Thursday night. A motion toward the northeast is expected on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Rose is expected to degenerate to a remnant low pressure area by early Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |