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#1063190 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 25.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0900 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 46.7W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 46.7W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.1N 48.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.5N 49.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N 50.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.7N 51.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.4N 52.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N 53.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N 56.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N 59.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 46.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI