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#1063363 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 26.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
1500 UTC SUN SEP 26 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 50.2W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 50.2W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 50.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.4N 51.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.2N 52.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.8N 54.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 55.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.6N 57.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 95SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.4N 60.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.6N 63.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 50.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH