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#1063490 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 27.Sep.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
1500 UTC MON SEP 27 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 52.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 52.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 51.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N 52.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.3N 53.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.1N 55.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.1N 56.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.2N 58.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.7N 59.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.9N 62.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 32.0N 61.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 52.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH