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#1063859 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 30.Sep.2021)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021
0900 UTC THU SEP 30 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 27.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 105SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 27.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 26.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 9.4N 28.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.2N 30.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.2N 32.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N 33.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.4N 35.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.6N 37.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N 40.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 27.3N 41.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.7N 27.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG