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#1064000 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 01.Oct.2021) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 0900 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 32.3W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......140NE 90SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 45SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 32.3W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 31.7W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.4N 33.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.4N 35.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.9N 36.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.7N 38.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N 40.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 32.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |