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| #1064129 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 01.Oct.2021) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 0300 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 35.3W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 35.3W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 35.0W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.2N 36.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 40SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.6N 38.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.5N 40.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.5N 42.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N 44.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.2N 46.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 35.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN |
