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| #1064160 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 02.Oct.2021) TCMAT3 HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021 0900 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 60.5W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 55NE 45SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 180SE 130SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 300SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 60.5W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 61.0W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 34.6N 59.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 36.6N 57.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.4N 54.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 50SE 45SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 40.7N 50.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 55SE 45SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 44.4N 44.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 240SE 240SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 48.9N 40.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 300SE 360SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 53.4N 34.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 58.7N 26.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
