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| #1064197 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 AM 02.Oct.2021) TCMAT3 HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021 1500 UTC SAT OCT 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 59.3W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 55NE 45SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 130SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 280SE 300SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 59.3W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.6N 57.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.4N 55.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.2N 52.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 210SE 190SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.8N 47.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 90SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 210SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 46.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 240SE 270SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 50.0N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 340SE 410SW 310NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 53.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 59.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 59.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
