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Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 
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#1064312 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 03.Oct.2021)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021
0900 UTC SUN OCT 03 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 55.9W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 180SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 300SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 55.9W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.6N 53.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 180SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.1N 49.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 190SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 44.9N 44.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 49.5N 40.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 250SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 51.4N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
34 KT...240NE 330SE 380SW 290NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 52.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 110SE 110SW 40NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 480SW 320NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 57.0N 26.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 60.5N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 55.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART