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| #1064423 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 03.Oct.2021) TCMAT3 HURRICANE SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021 0300 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 51.2W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 110SW 100NW. 34 KT.......210NE 210SE 210SW 210NW. 12 FT SEAS..340NE 350SE 420SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 51.2W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 52.2W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.6N 47.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 230SE 230SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 46.5N 42.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 280SE 310SW 230NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 50.4N 40.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 140SE 110SW 80NW. 34 KT...280NE 350SE 400SW 290NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 50.8N 38.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 110SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...290NE 350SE 380SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 51.6N 33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 290SE 310SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 54.5N 28.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...220NE 260SE 200SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 61.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 61.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 51.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
