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| #10710 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:29 PM 27.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 0300Z TUE SEP 28 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 46.4W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 46.4W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.4N 46.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 24.9N 46.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.0N 47.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 85NE 85SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.0N 47.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 32.0N 47.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 35.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 37.5N 44.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 46.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
