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#107368 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:43 PM 30.Aug.2006) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 200 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006 ...CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVING OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST...OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THIS ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE ERNESTO IS OVER LAND BUT SOME INTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR ON THURSDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...26.9 N...80.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |