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"Tropical Depression 7" is very disorganized and seemingly quite troffy this morning. Earlier model runs should be viewed with skepticism. #td7
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 342 (Milton) , Major: 342 (Milton) Florida - Any: 342 (Milton) Major: 342 (Milton)
17.5N 46.6W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
Nnw at 22 mph
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#107430 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 30.Aug.2006)
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
500 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...ERNESTO PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA...

AT 5PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES... 40 KM...WEST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 55 MILES...
90 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ERNESTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
ON THURSDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...27.6 N...80.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA