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#107506 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 PM 30.Aug.2006) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 800 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006 ...CENTER OF ERNESTO ABOUT TO EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR JUST NORTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF ERNESTO OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ERNESTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TONIGHT OR THURSDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MELBOURNE RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1001 MB...29.56 IN. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...28.2 N...80.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |