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| #10772 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 AM 28.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 1500Z TUE SEP 28 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 47.1W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 220SE 280SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 47.1W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 47.1W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.6N 47.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.0N 47.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 39.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 41.0N 38.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 47.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
