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| #108973 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 05.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 49.5W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......125NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 49.5W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.3N 51.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 53.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 90SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.3N 55.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 90SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.3N 57.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 60SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 60SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 49.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH |
