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| #10908 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 29.Sep.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132004 0300Z THU SEP 30 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 46.2W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 46.2W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 46.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.8N 47.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.7N 47.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.7N 47.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.6N 45.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.5N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL LOW MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
