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| #109226 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:11 AM 07.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 53.2W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 250SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 100SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 53.2W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 52.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 54.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...225NE 225SE 50SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.6N 57.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...250NE 225SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 30.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 35.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 53.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN |
