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#1094319 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:56 PM 05.Jun.2022) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012022 800 PM EDT Sun Jun 05 2022 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING ALEX AS THE STORM MOVES QUICKLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD BERMUDA... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA STARTING LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 70.3W ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 70.3 West. Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Monday, followed by an eastward motion at a slower forward speed on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical storm is expected to pass near or just north of Bermuda on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight. After that, Alex is forecast to weaken, and the system is expected to become an extratropical low by Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) mainly to the east of the center. NOAA buoy 41048 has recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust of 64 mph (104 km/h). The minimum central pressure estimated from data from NOAA buoy 41048 an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 988 mb (29.18 inches). Buoy 41048 located just east of the center has recently reported a pressure of 992 mb (29.28 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Alex can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on the island of Bermuda beginning late tonight or on Monday morning. RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Alex is expected to bring 1 to 2 inches or 25 to 50 mm of rain across Bermuda tonight into Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |