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| #109465 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 07.Sep.2006) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006 INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 56.1W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......350NE 250SE 0SW 250NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 100SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 56.1W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 55.5W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.3N 58.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...325NE 250SE 0SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.7N 60.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 85NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...300NE 250SE 60SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...275NE 250SE 75SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...275NE 250SE 75SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 65.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...275NE 275SE 100SW 250NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 34.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 42.0N 58.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 56.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
